Data

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Trackers

AC Signal

Updated Mar 31
Liquidity
↓↓Seizing
Fed
Absent
Smart Money
No Data
Macro
↓↓Cracking
Markets
Deteriorating
Sentiment
Fear Building

The Read

Macro Breakdown in Progress

  • Oil above $115 + zero corporate margins = layoffs are the next data print, not a tail risk.
  • Apollo's $15B fund gating at 44 cents on the dollar exposes $22T shadow credit system as illiquid.
  • Three consecutive F-grade Treasury auctions signal foreign demand destruction for U.S. debt.

US Net Liquidity

$5.78T

Flat
Fed (WALCL)$7B
TGA
$1B
RRP$0.8B · exhausted

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COT Report

Week of Mar 24

Managed Money 9th pct long Silver

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Auction Health

F7-Year

Improving ↑

Foreign demand: 62.6%