§ DASHBOARD · SIGNAL
The Signal.
One composite regime read. Fourteen inputs. No black box — every sub-signal is open, traceable, and graded against a public scorecard.
Last refresh · 42d agoCadence · Intraday · every 5mHistory · — hit rate · 3Y
◇ COMPOSITE VERDICT
—
◇ RISK OFF
CONFIDENCE
0/100
Risk Off
Five of six signal dimensions read bearish. Liquidity is draining, the Fed is holding firm, institutions are de-risking, macro data is deteriorating, and sentiment has hit Extreme Fear. The oil supply shock adds stagflation risk in a market already running on fumes. The contrarian case rests on sentiment extremes, but the macro backdrop makes this a falling-knife environment.
◇ TRIGGER WATCH · 0 of 3 fired
Net liquidity contracting as TGA rebuilds and ON RRP flatlines near zeroARMED
Fear and Greed at 13, deepest Extreme Fear since October 2023ARMED
Oil surging 11% introduces stagflation riskARMED
Trigger watch is a hard rule-set. When 2 of 3 fire, composite goes RED automatically. No desk discretion at that level.
§ 02 · SUB-SIGNALS
The fourteen inputs, scored
WEIGHTING · EQUAL Z-SCORE
LIQUIDITY
—
Draining
FED
—
Hawkish Hold
SMART MONEY
—
Risk-Off
MACRO
—
Deteriorating
MARKETS
≈ 0σ
Grinding
SENTIMENT
—
Extreme Fear
RATES VOL
—
pending source
BREADTH
—
pending source
POSITIONING
—
pending source
EARNINGS
—
pending source
GROWTH
—
pending source
INFLATION
—
pending source
13F FLOW
—
pending source
COT
—
pending source
§ 03 · HISTORY
Composite · 3-year timeline
RISK ONRISK OFFRED