§ DASHBOARD · SIGNAL
The Signal.
One composite regime read. 6 inputs, one per pillar we measure. Each pillar below prints its own reading.
Last refresh · 1d ago
◇ COMPOSITE VERDICT
◇ NEUTRAL
CONFIDENCE
8/100
OF 6 · 1 STALE COUNTED AS 0
Neutral
Four of six pillars read neutral, one leans bearish and none leans bullish, so there is no directional edge. IWM at -1.6426% on 2026-11-13 and HY OAS widening by 0.19 over the month are the only active warnings. A liquidity trend reading or a second down day in IWM would break the tie.
◇ KEY POINTS
Liquidity: 5790745 $M as of 2026-11-04, but no trend in the data.
Credit: HY OAS 3.3, up 0.19 over the month, still below its 5y average.
Markets: IWM fell 1.6426% on 2026-11-13, more than SPY at -0.354%.
§ 02 · SUB-SIGNALS
The 6 inputs, 1 stale
LIQUIDITY
NEUTRAL
Level Only
FED
NEUTRAL
Holding
SMART MONEY
STALE
13F data as of 2026-06-30 is stale. MSFT is held by 36 tracked funds (-1), UNP 36 (+2), DHR 35 (+3), JPM 35 (+2), COF 35 (no change). Crowding is high and it gives no directional edge.
MACRO
NEUTRAL
Widening
MARKETS
↓ BEARISH
Small-Cap Lag
SENTIMENT
NEUTRAL
Choppy
↑ ↓ LEANING↑↑ ↓↓ STRONGLYSTALE · data too old to read, counted as 0 in confidence
§ 03 · HISTORY
Every published read
- 2026-11-13NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-11NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-10NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-06NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-05NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-04NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-03NEUTRAL
- 2026-11-02NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-30NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-29NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-28NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-27NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-26NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-23NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-22NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-21NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-20NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-19RISK OFF
- 2026-10-15RISK OFF
- 2026-10-14NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-13RISK OFF
- 2026-10-12RISK OFF
- 2026-10-09RISK OFF
- 2026-10-08RISK OFF
- 2026-10-07NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-06NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-05NEUTRAL
- 2026-10-02RISK ON
- 2026-10-01NEUTRAL
- 2026-09-30NEUTRAL
- 2026-04-06RISK OFF
- 2026-03-31RISK OFF
- 2026-03-30NEUTRAL
RISK ONNEUTRALRISK OFF