Markets

Market Pulse

Post-Close Edition · Friday, July 31, 2026

S&P 500 up 0.72% at month-end as yen surge reshapes the session Small-caps slip, gold drops 1.49%, and Fear & Greed sits at 42 — the rally has cracks.


The Daily Digest

  1. 01S&P 500 up 0.72% as large-caps hold gains into month-end close
  2. 02Russell 2000 slips 0.48% — small-caps diverge as risk appetite stays selective
  3. 03USD/JPY drops 1.66% to 160.24, yen surges on Bank of Japan policy speculation
  4. 04Dollar Index softens 0.33% to 100.35 as yen strength pulls greenback lower
  5. 05Long-end Treasuries sell off, TLT down 0.66% as yields push higher
  6. 06Crude oil up 1.33% on supply concerns, energy sector leads with a 1% gain
  7. 07Gold down 1.49% and silver off 2.13% — precious metals retreat as risk-on equities draw flows
  8. 08Bitcoin falls 2.71% to $62,947, Ethereum drops 3.10% to $1,861 — crypto broadly under pressure
  9. 09CNN Fear & Greed Index sits at 42 — Fear territory, even as equities close green

Top Movers

Gainers

TBTShort 20Y+1.34%
OILCrude Oil+1.33%
XLEEnergy+1.00%
SPXS&P 500+0.72%
NDXNasdaq 100+0.65%

Losers

ETHEthereum-3.10%
BTCBitcoin-2.71%
SLVSilver-2.13%
XRPXRP-2.01%
SOLSolana-1.94%

What If?

If you had put $1,000 into Short 20Y yesterday, you'd have $1,013.40 today.


The Big Picture

The session's defining move wasn't in stocks — it was the yen. USD/JPY dropped 1.66% to 160.24 as Bank of Japan policy speculation intensified, pulling the Dollar Index down 0.33% to 100.35. A weaker dollar gave large-caps room to run, with the S&P 500 closing up 0.72% into month-end. Classic window dressing — fund managers tidying up portfolios for the July close. The split underneath the surface tells the real story. Small-caps (Russell 2000) slipped 0.48% while large-caps held green — risk appetite exists, but it's picky. Energy led sectors up 1% as crude gained 1.33% on supply concerns. Long-dated Treasuries sold off, with TLT down 0.66%, meaning yields pushed higher — not the backdrop that helps rate-sensitive names. Gold fell 1.49%, silver 2.13%, and crypto got hit hard, with Bitcoin dropping 2.71% to $62,947. The CNN Fear & Greed Index sitting at 42 — Fear — while equities close green is worth watching. That disconnect usually resolves one way or the other, and the yen move adds a wildcard: if the Bank of Japan actually tightens, the ripple through global markets will be significant. This is not financial advice. Acid Capitalist is a financial news and commentary site — not a registered financial adviser. Always do your own research.

Fear & Greed Index

42Fear
0255075100

Market Overview

Indices
S&P 500747.03+0.72%
Nasdaq 100687.99+0.65%
Dow Jones524.32+0.54%
Russell 2000291.20-0.48%
Crypto
Bitcoin62,947.00-2.71%
Ethereum1,861.01-3.10%
Solana72.95-1.94%
XRP1.06-2.01%
Cardano0.17-0.98%
Commodities
Natural Gas10.06+0.50%
Silver52.36-2.13%
Gold371.54-1.49%
Crude Oil129.17+1.33%
Bonds & Rates
20Y Treasury82.25%-0.66%
1-3Y Treasury82.00%-0.01%
Short 20Y38.45%+1.34%
Forex
EUR/USD1.15+0.08%
USD/JPY160.24-1.66%
GBP/USD1.34+0.25%
Dollar Index100.35-0.33%
Sectors
Energy59.55+1.00%
Healthcare162.55-0.59%
Technology175.35-0.22%
Utilities44.35-0.69%
Financials56.94-0.11%
Volatility
VIX20.51-2.66%